دانلود کتاب Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections: A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

Name: Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections: A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
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Author: Winfried Schröder
ISBN: 9783319038223, 9783319038230

by Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt (auth.)

عنوان فارسی: مدل مالاریا بالقوه در آلمان با استفاده از تغییر آب و هوا پیش بینی: روش ارزیابی ریسک کوپلینگ اپیدمیولوژیک و اندازه گیری زمین آماری
ناشر: Springer International Publishing
سال: 2014
ویرایش: 1
زبان: انگلیسی
تعداد صفحه (نسخه چاپی - نسخه الکترونیکی): 58-66
شابک: 9783319038223, 9783319038230
نوع فایل: PDF دانلود نرم افزار مطالعه
حجم: 3.00 مگابایت

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This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.