دانلود کتاب Scenario logic and probabilistic management of risk in business and engineering

In this volume the methodological aspects of the scenario logic and probabilistic (LP) non-success risk management are considered. The theoretical bases of scenario non-success risk LP-management in business and engineering are also stated. Methods and algorithms for the scenario risk LP-management in problems of classification, investment and effectiveness are described. Risk LP- models and results of numerical investigations for credit risks, risk of frauds, security portfolio risk, risk of quality, accuracy, and risk in multi-stage systems reliability are given. In addition, a rather large. Read more... Introduction; Acronyms and general notations; Management and Risk; The Human Being and Risks; Principles of Risk Management in Design; Risk Management at Debugging Tests; Risk Management in Operation on Basis of Monitoring; Risk Management on Dangerous Plant; Bases of Logic and Probabilistic Calculus; Logic and Probabilistic Method and Risk; Automated Structural and Logical Modelling; Foundations of the Risk LP-Theogy with Groups of Incompatible Events; The Risk LP-Theory with GIE in the Classification Problem; Identification of Risk LP-Models with Groups of Incompatible Events