دانلود کتاب Pension Revolution: A Solution to the Pensions Crisis

When you look at the way that companies are folding their pension plans (or leaving them severely underfunded), it's not hard to come to the conclusion that the pension system in America is broken. I didn't quite understand just *how* broken it was until I read Pension Revolution: A Solution to the Pensions Crisis by Keith P. Ambachtsheer. While it is a bit eye-opening, the book would be best appreciated by someone with an economics or financial background due to the level of terminology used.

Contents:
Introduction - Why a Pension Revolution Now?
Part 1 - The Pension Revolution - Touchstones: Are Pension Funds "Irrelevant"?; The Pension Revolution - Are You a Believer Yet?; After the Perfect Pension Storm - What Now?; Beyond Portfolio Theory - The Next Frontier; The United Airlines Case - Tipping Point for U.S. Pension System?; Peter Drucker's Pension Revolution After 30 Years - Not Over Yet; Winning the Pension Revolution - Why the Dutch Are Leading the Way; Pension Reform - Evolution or Revolution?
Part 2 - Building Better Pension Plans: Can Game Theory Help Build Better Pension Plans?; If DB and DC Plans Are Not the Answers, What Are the Questions?; Human Foibles and Agency Dysfunction - Building Pension Plans for the Real World; DB Plans and Bad Science; Peter Drucker's Pension Legacy - A Vision of What Could Be
Part 3 - Pension Fund Governance: Reinventing Pension Fund Management - Easier Said Than Done; Should (Could) You Manage Your Fund Like Harvard or Ontario Teachers'?; "Beauty Contest" Investing - Not Dead Yet; Eradicating "Beauty Contest" Investing - What It Will Take; High-Performance Cultures - Impossible Dream for Pension Funds?; How Much Is Good Governance Worth?
Part 4 - Investment Beliefs: The 10 Percent Equity Return Illusion - Possible Consequences; Stocks for the Long Run?... or Not?; "Persistent Investment Regimes" or "Random Walk"? Even Shakespeare Knew the Answer; The Fuss about Policy Portfolios - Adrift in Institutional Wonderland; Shifting the Investment Paradigm - A Progress Report; Whose "Investment Beliefs" Do You Believe?; Our 60-40 Asset Mix Policy Advice in 1987 - Wise or Foolish?; "But What Does the Turtle Rest On?" - A Further Exploration of Investment Beliefs; Professor Malkiel and the New Investment Paradigm - Raining on the Parade?; The "Post-Bubble Blues Decade" - A Progress Report
Part 5 - Risk in Pension Plans: Rethinking Funding Policy and Regulation - How Should Pension Plans Be Financed?; Funding Policy and Investment Policy - How Should They Be Integrated in DB Pension Plans?; Resurrecting Ranva - Adjusting Investment Returns for Risk; Adjusting Investment Returns for Risk - What's the Best Way?
Part 6 - Measuring Results: Pension Plan Organizations - Measuring "Competitiveness"; Measuring DC Plans as "Value Propositions" - The New Imperative for Plan Sponsors; Measuring Pension Fund Behavior (1992 to 2004) - What Can We Learn?
Part 7 - Pensions, Politics, and the Investment Industry: Wither Security Analysis?; Pension Funds and Investment Firms - Redefining the Relationship; The New Pension Fund Management Paradigm - Feedback from Financial Analysts; Reconnecting GAAP and Common Sense - The Cases of Stock Options and Pensions; Is Sri Bunk?; Alpha, Beta, Bafflegab - Investment Theory as Marketing Strategy; The Turner Pensions Commission Report - A Blueprint for Global Pension Reform; More Pension Wisdom from Europe - The Geneva Report on Pension Reform
Part 8 - The Case of PERS: PERS and the Pension Revolution - Active Participant... or Passive Bystander?; Advice for Alyson Green - How PERS Can Join the Pension Revolution
In Conclusion - A Call to Arms

As you can tell from the table of contents, there's no lack of material here... :)

Ambachtsheer makes the case (and quite convincingly) that the current state of pensions in the U.S. is not a sustainable model. There are too many parties with conflicting interests who want the other side to take on more of the long-term risk associated with returns and payouts. And of course, those same parties want to keep any of the short-term benefits that come with an investment time period that was more successful than most. Instead, he advocates for a system he calls TOPS, which stands for The Optimal Pension System. It's designed to eliminate the conflicts of interest, control costs, and look towards producing realistic returns through systematic behavior. He points out that there is a large gap between what people think they do (rational actions) and what they really do (bet the farm). Furthermore, the generally accepted wisdom that the market will return 10% over time ignores the needs of those who are expecting payout during times when the investments are *not* paying out anything close to that. If nothing else, you'll come away from this book with all your rote investment sayings challenged and shaken.

For a subject that he digs into pretty technically, the book is surprisingly readable in style. The major fault that I found is that economic concepts and theories are often thrown out without much explanation, as if the reader should already be familiar with them. As such, it makes it hard to follow the exact details of where he goes in many of the chapters unless you already live in that particular world. Still there's more than enough that *is* followable by the average layman to make it clear that counting on pensions as they are currently structured is betting on some pretty long odds.