دانلود کتاب Integrated catastrophe risk modeling : supporting policy processes

Efficient and equitable policies for managing disaster risks and adapting to global environmental change are critically dependent on development of robust options supported by integrated modeling. The book is based on research and state-of-the art models developed at IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis) and within its cooperation network. It addresses the methodological complexities of assessing disaster risks, which call for stochastic simulation, optimization methods and economic modeling. Furthermore, it describes policy frameworks for integrated disaster risk manage Read more... Integrated Modeling for Informing Risk Management Policies -- Catastrophe Models for Informing Risk Management Policy: An Introduction / Aniello Amendola, Tatiana Ermolieva, Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Reinhard Mechler -- Modeling Risk and Uncertainty: Managing Flash Flood Risk in Vienna / Keith L. Compton, Tatiana Ermolieva, Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Aniello Amendola -- Modeling Catastrophe Risk for Designing Insurance Systems / Tatiana Ermolieva, Yuri Ermoliev -- Multiple Criteria Decision Making for Flood Risk Management / Karin Hansson, Mats Danielson, Love Ekenberg, Joost Buurman -- Dams and Catastrophe Risk: Discounting in Long Term Planning / Tatiana Ermolieva, Yuri Ermoliev, Michael Obersteiner, Marek Makowski, Günther Fischer -- Disasters and Growth: Modeling and Managing Country-wide Catastrophe Risk -- Modeling Aggregate Economic Risk: An Introduction / Reinhard Mechler -- Economic Growth Under Catastrophes / Yuri Ermoliev, Tatiana Ermolieva -- Modeling Macro Scale Disaster Risk: The CATSIM Model / Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Reinhard Mechler, Georg Pflug -- Managing Indirect Economic Consequences of Disaster Risk: The Case of Nepal / Reinhard Mechler, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Kazuyoshi Nakano -- Tisza River Basin in Hungary: Flood Risk Management, Multi-Stakeholder Processes and Conflict Resolution -- Catastrophe Models and Policy Processes: Managing Flood Risk in the Hungarian Tisza River Basin - An Introduction / Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Love Ekenberg, Anna Vári -- Social Indicators of Vulnerability to Floods: An Empirical Case Study in Two Upper Tisza Flood Basins / Anna Vári, Zoltan Ferencz, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler -- Designing a Flood Management and Insurance System in Hungary: A Model-Based Stakeholder Approach / Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Anna Vári, Lisa Brouwers -- Consensus by Simulation: a Flood Model for Participatory Policy Making / Lisa Brouwers, Mona Riabacke -- A Risk-Based Decision Analytic Approach to Assessing Multi-stakeholder Policy Problems / Mats Danielson, Love Ekenberg -- Optimizing Public Private Risk Transfer Systems for Flood Risk Management in the Upper Tisza Region / Yuri Ermoliev, Tatiana Ermolieva, Istvan Galambos -- Flood Risk in a Changing Climate: A Multilevel Approach for Risk Management / Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Georg Pflug, Nicola Lugeri